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Bowers: Small State Deterrence in the Contemporary World

In this IFS Insight, Ian Bowers explores what is required for small state deterrence in the contemporary world.

  • The ambiguity of today's threat spectrum undermines traditional deterrence concepts.
  • The effective communication of capabilities, the setting of red lines and an understanding of what your opponent values are prerequisites for successful deterrence.
  • Allies play an essential role in the deterrent approach of small states; however, an independent deterrent capability is still vital.
  • Norway needs to articulate its deterrence posture clearly. Failure to do so will increase the likelihood of deterrence failure.

 This article is published as a part of the Defence Planning Programme

Publisert 15. september 2018 04:00.. Sist oppdatert 13. november 2018 13:20.