Date: 20 April 2018
Time: 09.00–11.45 (coffee and registration from 8.30, lunch from 11.45 to 12.30)
Venue: Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies, Kongens gate 4
The nuclear deterrence debate has reached the headlines again. North Korean and American leaders are showing off their nuclear buttons. Russia's Deputy Prime Minister has threatened to overfly Romania in a nuclear bomber. On top of this, nuclear weapon states are modernising their arsenals. Among others, these are vivid expressions of the undiminished role of nuclear deterrence.
Next to this frightful rhetoric, the 2018 US Nuclear Posture Review bolsters the role of nuclear weapons and sets a course for an assertive nuclear policy for the next decades to come. Additionally, the upcoming Ballistic Missile Defence Review will set the stage for the future of US air and missile defense.
- What do these developments imply for NATO defence and deterrence?
- How do these reports relate to the Russian military strategy and what are Moscow's responses?
Simultaneously, for the second time in the last decade, the Norwegian Nobel Committee awarded its peace prize to the goal of nuclear disarmament. Yet further progress in disarmament will most likely rely on concrete and pragmatic steps, and on – what nuclear weapon states call – "creating the conditions for a world without nuclear weapons".
This seminar will address the urgent questions regarding the role of nuclear weapons in defence and deterrence, as well as the prospects and challenges for nuclear arms control and disarmament.
Welcome by Professor Kjell Inge Bjerga, Director IFS
Introduction by Dr Katarzyna Kubiak
, senior fellow IFS
Keynote speech by Elaine Bunn, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Nuclear and Missile Defense Policy (2013–2016).
NATO defence and deterrence after the NPR
Input by Dr Katarzyna Zysk, Director of Research IFS.
Russian military strategy and the 2018 Nuclear Posture Review
Input by Vice President Kenneth Todorov, Missile Defense Solutions at Northrop Grumman
NATO Missile Defence after the BMDR Report
Input by Director William Alberque, NATO WMD Arms Control, Disarmament, and Non-Proliferation Centre
The prospects for arms control, non-proliferation, and disarmament in a worsening security environment
Panel discussion with Q&A